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us import tariffs on canadian and mexican crude oil may not materialize

US import tariffs on crude oil from Canada and Mexico are set to end next Wednesday, with a potential 10% tariff on Canadian oil and 25% on Mexican oil. However, the market anticipates these tariffs may not be implemented, as evidenced by the narrowing price discount for Canadian oil, which has dropped significantly in recent weeks. This shift may also be influenced by expected reductions in oil supplies from Venezuela, positioning Canadian oil as a viable alternative for US refineries.

US crude oil inventories drop by 3.3 million barrels amid declining demand

US crude oil inventories fell by 3.3 million barrels last week, marking the largest decline of the year, according to the US Department of Energy. Current stocks are approximately 5% below the 5-year average, despite expectations for an increase. Notably, petrol and distillate stocks also decreased, influenced by high net exports of oil products.

China's gold exports to Hong Kong surge amid weak domestic demand

China's gold exports to Hong Kong surged to 41 tons in February, more than doubling from the previous month and marking the highest level in a decade, while imports from Hong Kong saw only a slight increase. This shift indicates weak domestic demand in China, prompting traders to export surplus gold to capitalize on higher global prices.

oil prices surge amid middle east tensions and us sanctions

Oil prices surged last week, marking their strongest weekly gain since January, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East and new US sanctions on Iran and Venezuela. The risk premium from potential conflicts, including the fragile ceasefires involving Israel, has contributed to this rise. However, anticipated increases in OPEC+ oil supply may limit further price gains.

gold price reaches record high driven by strong investor demand

Gold prices surged to a record high of $3,057 per troy ounce, driven by strong investor interest, according to Commerzbank's Carsten Fritsch. Speculative net long positions increased for the first time in two months, and gold ETFs saw significant inflows, with over 20 tons added in one day. However, slight outflows were noted recently, likely due to positive US economic data affecting Fed rate cut expectations.

record high gold prices lead to decline in indian demand

Record-high gold prices in India, nearing 90,000 rupees per 10 grams, have led to a significant decline in demand, with private households selling jewelry to capitalize on these prices. The Indian Bullion and Jewellers Association anticipates a drop in demand exceeding 30% this year, as the current wedding season fails to attract typical customer traffic. Analysts warn that waning investor interest could trigger a sharper price correction.

Commerzbank raises silver price forecast as market tests key resistance level

Commerzbank has raised its year-end silver price target to $35 an ounce, up from $33, as silver approaches a key resistance level near $34. Analyst Carsten Fritsch noted strong industrial demand and an undersupplied market, predicting silver will gain ground relative to gold, which has also seen a price increase to $2,850 an ounce. Despite gold's momentum, Fritsch cautioned that it may be rising too quickly, with potential declines expected later in the year due to interest rate dynamics.
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